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Friday 8 April 2016

THE IMPACT OF SMUGGLING ON PERFORMANCE OF LOCAL INDUSTRIES



CHAPTER TWO:
LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1     Conceptual Framework
The low level and discrepancies of recorded intra-African trade flows have been noted for at least 30 years Berg 1985, Yeats (1990). This situation has continued or even expanded despite structural adjustment programs involving trade liberalization and extensive integration schemes aiming to promote formal integration.  There are some 30 regional blocs in Africa, and on average each of the 53 countries on the continent are members of 4 often–overlapping groups (Yang and Gupta (2009).  Yet official intra-African trade accounts for only about 10 per cent of total African exports and imports, far below other regions of the world Keane, Cali and Kennan (2010).  

Casual observation in the countries themselves, however, reveals that informal cross-border trade (ICBT) is thriving almost everywhere in Africa.  There have been numerous case studies of ICBT in the last two decades, most by sociologists, anthropologists and political scientists rather than economists.

2.2 Theoretical Framework
A study carried out by Lesser and Moisé- Leeman (2009) cover many border areas in Africa, including, among others: the Horn of Africa — Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Southern Africa — South Africa, Zimbabwe, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Congo etc. where smuggling is at its peak.   

Informal trade also known as smuggling, can involve two types of illegality, in the goods themselves (e.g., narcotics) or in the manner of trading (evasion of customs duties and regulations). Both types of illegal trade occur in Nigeria thereby affecting the performance of local industries.  
Although most informal trade is illegal in the narrow sense that it is unreported and fails to comply with statutory tax rates and other regulations, the products involved are generally not in themselves illegal to trade or use.  This chapter focuses on smuggling as it affects the performance of our local industries in the country.   
Smuggling in Nigeria is flourishing due to a confluence of factors: long traditions of regional trade preceding the colonial era; artificial borders imposed by the colonial powers, largely maintained as African nations became independent around the early 1960s; strong ethnic and religious ties uniting people across the borders; uncoordinated and often highly interventionist policies, particularly with regard to trade policies; weak state institutions, which undermine the effectiveness of the enforcement of these policies, and widespread corruption which reduces the legitimacy of the state and undermines tax morale; inability of governments to control movements of people and goods across these artificial borders; and widespread poverty and unemployment, which has spurred both the demand for and supply of informal markets.
Cross-border trade straddles the formal and informal sectors in a highly complex and well-organized system that operates quite similarly in different countries.  For example re-exports start with large formal enterprises that import goods through official channels and a sophisticated distribution chain that then transships through informal mechanisms, involving a network of large and small operators.  The prevalence of smuggling can be documented through an integrated analysis involving the volume of recorded trade flows and case studies based on anecdotal information in the country.
ICBT for sort, impede source of income, employment and sometimes, paradoxically, government revenues. This trade rests on a fragile foundation, however, and is unlikely to be conducive to long-term performance of local industries, given its dependence on policy distortions and its underground character.
2.3 Empirical Studies
Although smuggling may increase trade flows, i.e. lead to trade creation, but also diverts legal trade into illegal smuggling, i.e., trade diversion.  The net welfare effect is in general ambiguous, as it is in classic customs union analysis. 
Bhagwati and Hansen (1973) argue that smuggling is generally harmful because in their model trade diversion dominates.  Deardorff and Stolper (1990), using the same methodological framework, argue, in effect, that under Nigerian conditions‘ of heavily misrepresented government policies, trade creation tends to dominate. In these models, the welfare effects of smuggling turn on the magnitude of the real resource cost involved in smuggling compared to legal trade and on whether or not smuggling wipes out legal trade or the two forms of trade occur simultaneously (parallel trade).  
2.3.1 Types Of Smuggling And Their Causes  
There are different kinds of smuggling with respect to the level of social organization involved. Commercial smuggling is distinguished from petty smuggling Defiem and Kelly, (2001).  Commercial smuggling involves the transportation of large quantities of commodities to be sold for profit abroad. Petty smuggling applies to individuals crossing a border to purchase goods at cheaper prices. Research has consistently shown that petty smuggling is a widespread problem. Similarly, it has been observed that national and international regulations have clearly been ineffective in stemming the global problem of smuggling (Nadelmann 1993).
As societies continue to increase in complexity in economic, political, and cultural respects, traditional models of legal regulation and law enforcement may become obsolete. As such, smuggling activities will continue to take advantage of new- found opportunities in the global market. 
With reference to Nigeria, Akano (1986) pointed out that smuggling is one of the commonest crimes across Nigerian borders and that it is rampant in the West-Africa sub- region. He identified two causes of smuggling, especially since 1974, namely; the protectionist policies of successive Nigerian governments and the over active import demand preferences, especially of the middle class elites, which have provided a congenial atmosphere for illegal commodity trade to blossom over the year. In Nigeria, the trade protectionist policies of successive Nigerian governments have resulted in either a total ban or a restriction of the volume of trade flows to levels, which are below their natural equilibrium. The protective measures could have been motivated by a variety of needs such as revenue raising, conservation of foreign exchange, restoration of balance in the external payment accounts and protection of local infant industries. Nevertheless, they are inducement to smuggling activities. Besides, the local industries are unable to meet up with local demands. Since protection causes a divergence between the domestic price and world price of the protected commodity, the former being higher, the prospect of buying cheap abroad and selling dear at home clearly provides an incentive for the smugglers to take risk of clandestine importation, especially if the perceived chances of detection are low Akano, (1986). 
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